'27
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5% 33%
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5% 33%
Someone else 33%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
K5
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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6
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8
9
%
YES 33.33¢
NO 66.67¢
K5
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
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6
7
8
9
%
YES 33.33¢
NO 66.67¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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8
9
%
YES 33.33¢
NO 66.67¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
K5
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
chance
33%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 33.33¢
NO · 66.67¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 33.33¢
300.0
if Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5% wins
+$185 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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K5
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
YES 33.33¢ · NO 66.67¢ · chance 33%
TICKET
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