'26
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Hamilton Wins 56%
Marshall 0-5% 29%
Marshall 5-10% 11%
Marshall 10-15% 1%
Marshall 25-30% 0.5%
Marshall 15-20% 1%
Marshall 20-25% 0.5%
Marshall 30%+ 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
HW
Hamilton Wins
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 56.01¢
NO 43.99¢
M0
Marshall 0-5%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 29.2¢
NO 70.8¢
M5
Marshall 5-10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.53¢
NO 89.47¢
M1
Marshall 10-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
M2
Marshall 25-30%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
M1
Marshall 15-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
M2
Marshall 20-25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
M3
Marshall 30%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
HW
Hamilton Wins
chance
56%
YES · 56.01¢
NO · 43.99¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 56.01¢
178.5
if Hamilton Wins wins
+$70 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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HW
Hamilton Wins
YES 56.01¢ · NO 43.99¢ · chance 56%
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