'26
Iran leader end of 2026?
resolves Dec 31, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Mojtaba Khamenei 8%
Mohammad Khatami 8%
Seyed Hossein Mousavian 8%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi 8%
Hassan Shariatmadari 8%
Alireza Arafi 8%
Hassan Khomeini 8%
No Head of State 8%
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 8%
Masoud Pezeshkian 8%
Hassan Rouhani 8%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
MK
Mojtaba Khamenei
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MK
Mohammad Khatami
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SM
Seyed Hossein Mousavian
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MP
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
HS
Hassan Shariatmadari
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AA
Alireza Arafi
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
HK
Hassan Khomeini
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
NS
No Head of State
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MA
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MP
Masoud Pezeshkian
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
HR
Hassan Rouhani
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MG
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
MK
Mojtaba Khamenei
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Mojtaba Khamenei wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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MK
Mojtaba Khamenei
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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