'26
Iowa Senate Election Winner
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Ashley Hinson (R) 8%
Josh Turek (D) 8%
Person A 8%
Person B 8%
Person C 8%
Person D 8%
Person E 8%
Person F 8%
Person G 8%
Person H 8%
Person I 8%
Person J 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
A(
Ashley Hinson (R)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
J(
Josh Turek (D)
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PA
Person A
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PB
Person B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PC
Person C
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PD
Person D
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PE
Person E
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PF
Person F
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PG
Person G
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PH
Person H
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PI
Person I
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
PJ
Person J
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
A(
Ashley Hinson (R)
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Ashley Hinson (R) wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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A(
Ashley Hinson (R)
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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