'26
IN-08 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Mark Messmer (R) 93%
Mary Allen (D) 6%
Someone else 2%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
M(
Mark Messmer (R)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 92.75¢
NO 7.25¢
M(
Mary Allen (D)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.55¢
NO 94.45¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
M(
Mark Messmer (R)
chance
93%
YES · 92.75¢
NO · 7.25¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 92.75¢
107.8
if Mark Messmer (R) wins
+$2 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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M(
Mark Messmer (R)
YES 92.75¢ · NO 7.25¢ · chance 93%
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