'26
IA-04 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
David Dawson (D) 5%
Chris McGowan (R) 95%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
D(
David Dawson (D)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.5¢
NO 95.5¢
C(
Chris McGowan (R)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 95¢
NO 5¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
D(
David Dawson (D)
chance
5%
YES · 4.5¢
NO · 95.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 4.5¢
2222.2
if David Dawson (D) wins
+$2011 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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D(
David Dawson (D)
YES 4.5¢ · NO 95.5¢ · chance 5%
TRADE
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