'27
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
resolves Jul 1, 2027 · source: https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Greater than 8 41%
8 40%
7 6%
5 0.5%
6 0.5%
Fewer than 5 0.5%
Someone else 11%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
G8
Greater than 8
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 41.44¢
NO 58.56¢
8
8
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 39.96¢
NO 60.04¢
7
7
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.72¢
NO 94.28¢
5
5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
6
6
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
F5
Fewer than 5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.4¢
NO 88.6¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
G8
Greater than 8
chance
41%
YES · 41.44¢
NO · 58.56¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 41.44¢
241.3
if Greater than 8 wins
+$129 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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G8
Greater than 8
YES 41.44¢ · NO 58.56¢ · chance 41%
TRADE
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