'27
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
200 or more 13%
160-179 13%
180-199 13%
140-159 13%
<100 13%
120-139 13%
100-119 13%
Someone else 13%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
2M
200 or more
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
16
160-179
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
18
180-199
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
14
140-159
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
<1
<100
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
12
120-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
10
100-119
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
2M
200 or more
chance
13%
YES · 12.5¢
NO · 87.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.5¢
800.0
if 200 or more wins
+$660 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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2M
200 or more
YES 12.5¢ · NO 87.5¢ · chance 13%
TRADE
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