'26
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
50–52 and 193–207 8%
≤46 and ≤192 21%
50–52 and 208–222 12%
47–49 and ≤192 14%
47–49 and 193–207 25%
≥53 and 208–222 6%
50–52 and ≤192 1%
≤46 and 193–207 6%
47–49 and ≥208 4%
50–52 and ≥223 0.5%
≥53 and ≤207 3%
≤46 and ≥208 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
51
50–52 and 193–207
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.68¢
NO 92.32¢
≤≤
≤46 and ≤192
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.71¢
NO 79.29¢
52
50–52 and 208–222
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.93¢
NO 88.07¢
4≤
47–49 and ≤192
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.76¢
NO 86.24¢
41
47–49 and 193–207
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 24.77¢
NO 75.23¢
≥2
≥53 and 208–222
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.04¢
NO 93.96¢
5≤
50–52 and ≤192
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
≤1
≤46 and 193–207
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.94¢
NO 94.06¢
4≥
47–49 and ≥208
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.1¢
NO 95.9¢
5≥
50–52 and ≥223
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
≥≤
≥53 and ≤207
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.85¢
NO 97¢
≤≥
≤46 and ≥208
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
51
50–52 and 193–207
chance
8%
YES · 7.68¢
NO · 92.32¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.68¢
1302.1
if 50–52 and 193–207 wins
+$1137 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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51
50–52 and 193–207
YES 7.68¢ · NO 92.32¢ · chance 8%
TRADE
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