'27
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
8 11%
14 11%
15+ 11%
13 11%
9 11%
12 11%
10 11%
11 11%
Someone else 11%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
8
8
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
14
14
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
15
15+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
13
13
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
9
9
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
12
12
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
10
10
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
11
11
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.11¢
NO 88.89¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
RELATED MARKETS
esports
LIVE
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
$0 24h vol
weather
LIVE
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
8
8
chance
11%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 11.11¢
NO · 88.89¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 11.11¢
900.1
if 8 wins
+$755 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Sign in to trade
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
8
8
YES 11.11¢ · NO 88.89¢ · chance 11%
TICKET
Sign in to trade