'27
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
12-15 13%
20-23 13%
24-27 13%
16-19 13%
<12 13%
28-31 13%
32+ 13%
Someone else 13%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
12
12-15
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
20
20-23
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
24
24-27
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
16
16-19
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
<1
<12
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
28
28-31
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
32
32+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
12
12-15
chance
13%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 12.5¢
NO · 87.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.5¢
800.0
if 12-15 wins
+$660 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
12
12-15
YES 12.5¢ · NO 87.5¢ · chance 13%
TICKET
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