'27
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
11–13 17%
17–19 17%
14–16 17%
8–10 17%
20+ 17%
Someone else 17%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
11
11–13
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
17
17–19
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
14
14–16
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
8–
8–10
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
20
20+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
11
11–13
chance
17%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 16.67¢
NO · 83.33¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 16.67¢
599.9
if 11–13 wins
+$470 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
11
11–13
YES 16.67¢ · NO 83.33¢ · chance 17%
TICKET
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