'26
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 4?
resolves Sep 4, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
18°C 8%
17°C 8%
16°C 8%
19°C 8%
20°C 8%
15°C 8%
21°C 8%
14°C 8%
13°C 8%
12°C or below 8%
22°C or higher 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
17
17°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
16
16°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
19
19°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
20
20°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
15
15°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
14
14°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
13
13°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
1B
12°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
2H
22°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
18
18°C
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 8.33¢
NO · 91.67¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.33¢
1200.5
if 18°C wins
+$1040 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
18
18°C
YES 8.33¢ · NO 91.67¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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