'26
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
resolves Sep 4, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
30°C 8%
32°C 8%
31°C 8%
29°C 8%
33°C 8%
28°C 8%
34°C 8%
35°C or higher 8%
25°C or below 8%
27°C 8%
26°C 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
34
34°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
3H
35°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
2B
25°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
30
30°C
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 8.33¢
NO · 91.67¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.33¢
1200.5
if 30°C wins
+$1040 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Sign in to trade
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
30
30°C
YES 8.33¢ · NO 91.67¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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