'26
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 23?
resolves Oct 23, 2026 · source: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=NZWN&format=raw&date=2026-10-23T11:00:00Z&hours=27
RESOLVED · 20°C won
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
20°C 95%
18°C 0.5%
21°C 0.5%
19°C 0.5%
17°C 0.5%
22°C 0.5%
23°C 0.5%
16°C 0.5%
24°C or higher 0.5%
14°C or below 0.5%
15°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
20
20°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 94.74¢
NO 5.26¢
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
19°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
17
17°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
16
16°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2H
24°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
1B
14°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
20
20°C
chance
95%
YES · 94.74¢
NO · 5.26¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 94.74¢
105.6
if 20°C wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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predictbay.io
20
20°C
YES 94.74¢ · NO 5.26¢ · chance 95%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market