'26
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 16?
resolves Oct 16, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
10°C 0.5%
9°C 0.5%
11°C 89%
12°C 6%
13°C 0.5%
8°C 0.5%
14°C 0.5%
6°C or below 0.5%
7°C 0.5%
15°C 0.5%
16°C or higher 0.5%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
10
10°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
9°
9°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
11
11°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 88.8¢
NO 11.2¢
12
12°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.6¢
NO 94.4¢
13
13°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
8°
8°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
14°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
6B
6°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
7°
7°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
1H
16°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
10
10°C
chance
0.5%
YES · 2¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2¢
5000.0
if 10°C wins
+$4650 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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10
10°C
YES 2¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 0.5%
TRADE
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