'26
Highest temperature in Wellington on October 10?
resolves Oct 10, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
20°C 53%
14°C or below 1%
24°C or higher 0.5%
18°C 1%
19°C 19%
21°C 20%
22°C 3%
23°C 1%
17°C 1%
15°C 0.5%
16°C 0.5%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
20
20°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 52.5¢
NO 47.5¢
1B
14°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2H
24°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
19°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.82¢
NO 81.18¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19.91¢
NO 80.09¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.97¢
NO 97¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
17
17°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
16
16°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
20
20°C
chance
53%
YES · 52.5¢
NO · 47.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 52.5¢
190.5
if 20°C wins
+$81 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
20
20°C
YES 52.5¢ · NO 47.5¢ · chance 53%
TRADE
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