'26
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 25?
resolves Oct 25, 2026 · source: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=RJTT&format=raw&date=2026-10-25T18:00:00Z&hours=30
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
25°C 0.5%
24°C 0.5%
27°C or higher 57%
26°C 39%
23°C 0.5%
22°C 0.5%
20°C 0.5%
21°C 0.5%
19°C 0.5%
18°C 0.5%
17°C or below 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2H
27°C or higher
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 56.54¢
NO 43.46¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 38.67¢
NO 61.33¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
20
20°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
19°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
1B
17°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
25
25°C
chance
0.5%
YES · 2¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2¢
5000.0
if 25°C wins
+$4650 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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25
25°C
YES 2¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 0.5%
TRADE
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