'26
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 20?
resolves Oct 20, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
31°C 77%
30°C 0.5%
27°C 1%
32°C 17%
28°C 1%
33°C 1%
26°C or below 1%
29°C 0.5%
34°C 0.5%
36°C or higher 0.5%
35°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
31
31°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 76.7¢
NO 23.3¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.99¢
NO 83.01¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
26°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
34
34°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
36°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
35
35°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
31
31°C
chance
77%
YES · 76.7¢
NO · 23.3¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 76.7¢
130.4
if 31°C wins
+$24 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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predictbay.io
31
31°C
YES 76.7¢ · NO 23.3¢ · chance 77%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market