'26
Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 20?
resolves Oct 20, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
28°C 1%
30°C 45%
27°C 0.5%
31°C 4%
29°C 46%
25°C or below 0.5%
32°C 1%
26°C 0.5%
33°C 0.5%
34°C 0.5%
35°C or higher 0.5%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 45.14¢
NO 54.86¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.83¢
NO 96.17¢
29
29°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 45.63¢
NO 54.37¢
2B
25°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
34
34°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
35°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
28
28°C
chance
1%
YES · 2¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2¢
5000.0
if 28°C wins
+$4650 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
28
28°C
YES 2¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 1%
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