'26
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 11?
resolves Oct 11, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
26°C 81%
25°C 0.5%
24°C 0.5%
30°C or higher 0.5%
27°C 13%
23°C 0.5%
28°C 2%
22°C 0.5%
29°C 0.5%
20°C or below 0.5%
21°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
26
26°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 81.45¢
NO 18.55¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
30°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.71¢
NO 87.29¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
20°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
26
26°C
chance
81%
YES · 81.45¢
NO · 18.55¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 81.45¢
122.8
if 26°C wins
+$17 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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26
26°C
YES 81.45¢ · NO 18.55¢ · chance 81%
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