'26
Highest temperature in Paris on October 12?
resolves Oct 12, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
18°C 8%
19°C 32%
20°C 44%
16°C 0.5%
15°C 0.5%
21°C 10%
17°C 2%
22°C 1%
24°C or higher 0.5%
14°C or below 0.5%
23°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
18
18°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.37¢
NO 91.63¢
19
19°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 31.61¢
NO 68.39¢
20
20°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 44.17¢
NO 55.83¢
16
16°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.32¢
NO 89.68¢
17
17°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2H
24°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
1B
14°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
23
23°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
18
18°C
chance
8%
YES · 8.37¢
NO · 91.63¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.37¢
1194.7
if 18°C wins
+$1035 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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predictbay.io
18
18°C
YES 8.37¢ · NO 91.63¢ · chance 8%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market