'26
Highest temperature in Paris on November 1?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LFPB&format=raw&date=2026-11-02T02:00:00Z&hours=30
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
13°C 25%
12°C 3%
14°C 64%
11°C 0.5%
15°C or higher 4%
10°C 0.5%
7°C 0.5%
6°C 0.5%
5°C or below 0.5%
9°C 0.5%
8°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
13
13°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 25.2¢
NO 74.8¢
12
12°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.95¢
NO 97¢
14
14°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 63.72¢
NO 36.28¢
11
11°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
1H
15°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.33¢
NO 95.67¢
10
10°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
7°
7°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
6°
6°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
5B
5°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
9°
9°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
8°
8°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
13
13°C
chance
25%
YES · 25.2¢
NO · 74.8¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 25.2¢
396.8
if 13°C wins
+$277 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
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13
13°C
YES 25.2¢ · NO 74.8¢ · chance 25%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market