'26
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 7?
resolves Oct 7, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
31°C 5%
28°C 4%
30°C 49%
27°C 1%
32°C 1%
29°C 39%
26°C 0.5%
33°C or higher 0.5%
25°C 0.5%
24°C 0.5%
23°C or below 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.58¢
NO 95.42¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.59¢
NO 96.41¢
30
30°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 48.61¢
NO 51.39¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 39.17¢
NO 60.83¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
33°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
23°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
31
31°C
chance
5%
YES · 4.58¢
NO · 95.42¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 4.58¢
2183.4
if 31°C wins
+$1974 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
31
31°C
YES 4.58¢ · NO 95.42¢ · chance 5%
TRADE
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