'26
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 6?
resolves Oct 6, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
27°C 36%
30°C 1%
26°C 14%
29°C 5%
28°C 36%
25°C 5%
31°C 0.5%
23°C or below 0.5%
32°C 0.5%
24°C 0.5%
33°C or higher 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 36.17¢
NO 63.83¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.42¢
NO 85.58¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.04¢
NO 94.96¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 36.17¢
NO 63.83¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.58¢
NO 95.42¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
23°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
33°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
27
27°C
chance
36%
YES · 36.17¢
NO · 63.83¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 36.17¢
276.5
if 27°C wins
+$163 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
27
27°C
YES 36.17¢ · NO 63.83¢ · chance 36%
TRADE
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