'26
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 3?
resolves Oct 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
28°C 27%
27°C 4%
30°C 21%
29°C 42%
32°C 0.5%
31°C 3%
33°C 0.5%
34°C or higher 0.5%
24°C or below 0.5%
25°C 0.5%
26°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 26.53¢
NO 73.47¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.18¢
NO 95.82¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 21.13¢
NO 78.87¢
29
29°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 42.25¢
NO 57.75¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.63¢
NO 97¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
34°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
24°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
28
28°C
chance
27%
YES · 26.53¢
NO · 73.47¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 26.53¢
376.9
if 28°C wins
+$258 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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predictbay.io
28
28°C
YES 26.53¢ · NO 73.47¢ · chance 27%
TRADE
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