'26
Gemini Carbon released on...?
resolves Dec 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
No release by November 30 12%
November 10 25%
November 11 19%
November 17 6%
November 21 1%
November 4 0.5%
November 5 0.5%
November 14 6%
November 3 0.5%
November 8 0.5%
November 12 4%
November 7 0.5%
Someone else 23%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
N3
No release by November 30
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.36¢
NO 87.64¢
N1
November 10
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 25.42¢
NO 74.58¢
N1
November 11
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19.44¢
NO 80.56¢
N1
November 17
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.43¢
NO 93.57¢
N2
November 21
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
N4
November 4
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
N5
November 5
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
N1
November 14
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.38¢
NO 93.62¢
N3
November 3
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
N8
November 8
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
N1
November 12
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.2¢
NO 95.8¢
N7
November 7
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 22.7¢
NO 77.3¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
N3
No release by November 30
chance
12%
YES · 12.36¢
NO · 87.64¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.36¢
809.1
if No release by November 30 wins
+$669 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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N3
No release by November 30
YES 12.36¢ · NO 87.64¢ · chance 12%
TRADE
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