'26
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Moody 9-12% 15%
Moody 3-6% 28%
Moody 6-9% 15%
Moody 0-3% 15%
Nixon 0-3% 8%
Nixon 3%+ 3%
Moody 12-15% 4%
Moody 15-18% 7%
Moody 18-21% 3%
Moody 21%+ 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
M9
Moody 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.97¢
NO 85.03¢
M3
Moody 3-6%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 28.06¢
NO 71.94¢
M6
Moody 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 15.44¢
NO 84.57¢
M0
Moody 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 15.39¢
NO 84.61¢
N0
Nixon 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.95¢
NO 92.05¢
N3
Nixon 3%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.53¢
NO 97¢
M1
Moody 12-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.44¢
NO 95.56¢
M1
Moody 15-18%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.74¢
NO 93.26¢
M1
Moody 18-21%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.9¢
NO 97¢
M2
Moody 21%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
M9
Moody 9-12%
chance
15%
YES · 14.97¢
NO · 85.03¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 14.97¢
668.0
if Moody 9-12% wins
+$535 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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M9
Moody 9-12%
YES 14.97¢ · NO 85.03¢ · chance 15%
TRADE
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