'26
Fed Decision in October?
resolves Oct 29, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
25 bps decrease 4%
No change 27%
25 bps increase 67%
50+ bps decrease 1%
50+ bps increase 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
2D
25 bps decrease
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.83¢
NO 96.17¢
NC
No change
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 27.32¢
NO 72.68¢
2I
25 bps increase
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 67.06¢
NO 32.94¢
5D
50+ bps decrease
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
5I
50+ bps increase
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
2D
25 bps decrease
chance
4%
YES · 3.83¢
NO · 96.17¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 3.83¢
2611.0
if 25 bps decrease wins
+$2380 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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2D
25 bps decrease
YES 3.83¢ · NO 96.17¢ · chance 4%
TRADE
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