'26
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
resolves Oct 10, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
165-189 0.5%
<40 7%
40-64 42%
90-114 9%
190-214 0.5%
140-164 1%
65-89 36%
115-139 4%
215-239 0.5%
240+ 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
16
165-189
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
<4
<40
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.95¢
NO 93.05¢
40
40-64
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 41.71¢
NO 58.29¢
90
90-114
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.57¢
NO 91.43¢
19
190-214
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
140-164
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
65
65-89
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 35.68¢
NO 64.32¢
11
115-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.03¢
NO 95.97¢
21
215-239
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
240+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
16
165-189
chance
0.5%
YES · 2¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2¢
5000.0
if 165-189 wins
+$4650 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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16
165-189
YES 2¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 0.5%
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