'26
Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
resolves Oct 19, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
<40 3%
40-64 27%
240+ 0.5%
190-214 0.5%
65-89 34%
215-239 0.5%
90-114 19%
165-189 1%
140-164 3%
115-139 11%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<4
<40
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.71¢
NO 97¢
40
40-64
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 26.62¢
NO 73.38¢
24
240+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
190-214
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
65
65-89
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 34.22¢
NO 65.78¢
21
215-239
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
90
90-114
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19.49¢
NO 80.51¢
16
165-189
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
140-164
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.85¢
NO 97¢
11
115-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.31¢
NO 88.69¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
<4
<40
chance
3%
YES · 2.71¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2.71¢
3690.0
if <40 wins
+$3406 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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<4
<40
YES 2.71¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 3%
TRADE
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