'26
Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?
resolves Oct 14, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
<40 8%
40-64 54%
240+ 0.5%
90-114 4%
65-89 28%
115-139 2%
215-239 0.5%
140-164 0.5%
165-189 0.5%
190-214 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<4
<40
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.35¢
NO 91.65¢
40
40-64
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 54.49¢
NO 45.51¢
24
240+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
90
90-114
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.22¢
NO 95.78¢
65
65-89
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 28.47¢
NO 71.53¢
11
115-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
215-239
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
140-164
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
16
165-189
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
190-214
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
<4
<40
chance
8%
YES · 8.35¢
NO · 91.65¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.35¢
1197.6
if <40 wins
+$1038 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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<4
<40
YES 8.35¢ · NO 91.65¢ · chance 8%
TRADE
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