'26
Closest Senate Race?
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Kansas 14%
Texas 8%
South Carolina 14%
Iowa 17%
Alaska 10%
Arkansas 1%
Maine 9%
Florida (Special) 4%
Michigan 7%
Mississippi 4%
Louisiana 2%
Ohio (Special) 7%
Someone else 3%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
KA
Kansas
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.05¢
NO 85.95¢
TE
Texas
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.1¢
NO 91.9¢
SC
South Carolina
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.2¢
NO 85.8¢
IO
Iowa
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 17.45¢
NO 82.55¢
AL
Alaska
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.9¢
NO 90.1¢
AR
Arkansas
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MA
Maine
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.9¢
NO 91.1¢
F(
Florida (Special)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.75¢
NO 96.25¢
MI
Michigan
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.65¢
NO 93.35¢
MI
Mississippi
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.05¢
NO 95.95¢
LO
Louisiana
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
O(
Ohio (Special)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.75¢
NO 93.25¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.15¢
NO 96.85¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
KA
Kansas
chance
14%
YES · 14.05¢
NO · 85.95¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 14.05¢
711.7
if Kansas wins
+$576 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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KA
Kansas
YES 14.05¢ · NO 85.95¢ · chance 14%
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