'26
California Governor Election Winner
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Tom Steyer 8%
Steve Hilton 8%
Alex Padilla 8%
Chad Bianco 8%
Kyle Langford 8%
Xavier Becerra 8%
Rick Caruso 8%
Nicole Shanahan 8%
Katie Porter 8%
Betty Yee 8%
Antonio Villaraigosa 8%
Stephen Cloobeck 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
TS
Tom Steyer
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SH
Steve Hilton
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AP
Alex Padilla
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
CB
Chad Bianco
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
KL
Kyle Langford
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
XB
Xavier Becerra
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
RC
Rick Caruso
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
NS
Nicole Shanahan
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
KP
Katie Porter
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
BY
Betty Yee
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AV
Antonio Villaraigosa
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SC
Stephen Cloobeck
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
TS
Tom Steyer
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Tom Steyer wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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TS
Tom Steyer
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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