'26
CA-08 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Rudy Recile (R) 4%
John Garamendi (D) 96%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
R(
Rudy Recile (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.53¢
NO 96.47¢
J(
John Garamendi (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 95.98¢
NO 4.02¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
R(
Rudy Recile (R)
chance
4%
YES · 3.53¢
NO · 96.47¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 3.53¢
2832.9
if Rudy Recile (R) wins
+$2591 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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R(
Rudy Recile (R)
YES 3.53¢ · NO 96.47¢ · chance 4%
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