'26
CA-01 House Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Mike McGuire (D) 95%
James Gallagher (R) 5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
M(
Mike McGuire (D)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 94.53¢
NO 5.47¢
J(
James Gallagher (R)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.97¢
NO 95.03¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
M(
Mike McGuire (D)
chance
95%
YES · 94.53¢
NO · 5.47¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 94.53¢
105.8
if Mike McGuire (D) wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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M(
Mike McGuire (D)
YES 94.53¢ · NO 5.47¢ · chance 95%
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