'26
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
resolves Oct 25, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Iotova 40%+ 10%
Gyurov 20-30% 7%
Iotova 20-30% 57%
Iotova 30-40% 5%
Iotova <10% 5%
Gyurov 10-20% 1%
Iotova 10-20% 9%
Gyurov <10% 0.5%
Gyurov 30%+ 0.5%
Someone else 4%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
I4
Iotova 40%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.44¢
NO 89.56¢
G2
Gyurov 20-30%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.84¢
NO 93.16¢
I2
Iotova 20-30%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 56.94¢
NO 43.06¢
I3
Iotova 30-40%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.49¢
NO 94.51¢
I<
Iotova <10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.49¢
NO 94.51¢
G1
Gyurov 10-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
I1
Iotova 10-20%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.99¢
NO 91.01¢
G<
Gyurov <10%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
G3
Gyurov 30%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.1¢
NO 95.9¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
I4
Iotova 40%+
chance
10%
YES · 10.44¢
NO · 89.56¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 10.44¢
957.9
if Iotova 40%+ wins
+$810 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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I4
Iotova 40%+
YES 10.44¢ · NO 89.56¢ · chance 10%
TRADE
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