'26
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
resolves Oct 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
44%+ 70%
41-44% 23%
38-41% 5%
35-38% 2%
<35% 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
44
44%+
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 69.8¢
NO 30.2¢
41
41-44%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 22.78¢
NO 77.22¢
38
38-41%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.6¢
NO 95.4¢
35
35-38%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
<3
<35%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
44
44%+
chance
70%
YES · 69.8¢
NO · 30.2¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 69.8¢
143.3
if 44%+ wins
+$36 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
44
44%+
YES 69.8¢ · NO 30.2¢ · chance 70%
TRADE
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