'26
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)
resolves Oct 5, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
45-48% 81%
42-45% 5%
<39% 1%
39-42% 1%
48-51% 11%
51%+ 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
45
45-48%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 81.2¢
NO 18.8¢
42
42-45%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.98¢
NO 95.02¢
<3
<39%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
39
39-42%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
48
48-51%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.02¢
NO 88.98¢
51
51%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
45
45-48%
chance
81%
YES · 81.2¢
NO · 18.8¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 81.2¢
123.2
if 45-48% wins
+$17 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
45
45-48%
YES 81.2¢ · NO 18.8¢ · chance 81%
TRADE
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