'26
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District
resolves Oct 5, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Flavio Bolsonaro 92%
Lula 3%
Pablo Marçal 0.5%
Zema 0.5%
Clariana Barao 0.5%
Hertz Dias 0.5%
Edmilson Costa 0.5%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 0.5%
Escritor Augusto Cury 0.5%
Renan Santos 0.5%
Samara 0.5%
Ronaldo Caiado 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
FB
Flavio Bolsonaro
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 91.85¢
NO 8.15¢
LU
Lula
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.94¢
NO 97¢
PM
Pablo Marçal
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ZE
Zema
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CB
Clariana Barao
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
HD
Hertz Dias
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
EC
Edmilson Costa
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
VG
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
EC
Escritor Augusto Cury
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
RS
Renan Santos
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SA
Samara
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
RC
Ronaldo Caiado
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
FB
Flavio Bolsonaro
chance
92%
YES · 91.85¢
NO · 8.15¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 91.85¢
108.9
if Flavio Bolsonaro wins
+$3 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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FB
Flavio Bolsonaro
YES 91.85¢ · NO 8.15¢ · chance 92%
TRADE
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