'27
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Bitcoin 25%
Gold 25%
S&P 500 25%
Someone else 25%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
BI
Bitcoin
+0.0pt today
0
1
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8
9
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 25¢
NO 75¢
GO
Gold
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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8
9
%
YES 25¢
NO 75¢
S5
S&P 500
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 25¢
NO 75¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
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5
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7
8
9
%
YES 25¢
NO 75¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
BI
Bitcoin
chance
25%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 25¢
NO · 75¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 25¢
400.0
if Bitcoin wins
+$280 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
BI
Bitcoin
YES 25¢ · NO 75¢ · chance 25%
TICKET
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