'26
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
0-5 92%
5-10 3%
20-25 1%
15-20 0.5%
30+ 1%
10-15 2%
25-30 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
0-
0-5
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 91.79¢
NO 8.21¢
5-
5-10
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.51¢
NO 97¢
20
20-25
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15-20
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
30
30+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
10
10-15
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.22¢
NO 97¢
25
25-30
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
0-
0-5
chance
92%
YES · 91.79¢
NO · 8.21¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 91.79¢
108.9
if 0-5 wins
+$3 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
0-
0-5
YES 91.79¢ · NO 8.21¢ · chance 92%
TRADE
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