'26
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: IMF PortWatch
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
25-29 55%
20-24 12%
30-34 23%
<20 7%
35+ 2%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
25
25-29
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 54.96¢
NO 45.04¢
20
20-24
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.16¢
NO 87.84¢
30
30-34
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 23.35¢
NO 76.65¢
<2
<20
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.3¢
NO 92.7¢
35
35+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
oil
LIVE
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
$0 24h vol
oil
LIVE
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
25
25-29
chance
55%
YES · 54.96¢
NO · 45.04¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 54.96¢
182.0
if 25-29 wins
+$73 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
25
25-29
YES 54.96¢ · NO 45.04¢ · chance 55%
TRADE
Sign in to trade