'26
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Tom Cotton (R) 95%
Hallie Shoffner (D) 5%
Someone else 1%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
T(
Tom Cotton (R)
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 94.55¢
NO 5.45¢
H(
Hallie Shoffner (D)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.8¢
NO 95.2¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
T(
Tom Cotton (R)
chance
95%
YES · 94.55¢
NO · 5.45¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 94.55¢
105.8
if Tom Cotton (R) wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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T(
Tom Cotton (R)
YES 94.55¢ · NO 5.45¢ · chance 95%
TRADE
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