'28
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
resolves Jan 1, 2028 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
<100B 13%
100–200B 13%
300–400B 13%
600B+ 13%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 13%
400–600B 13%
200–300B 13%
Someone else 13%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<1
<100B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
10
100–200B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
30
300–400B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
60
600B+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
N2
No IPO by December 31, 2027
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
40
400–600B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
20
200–300B
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
<1
<100B
chance
13%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 12.5¢
NO · 87.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.5¢
800.0
if <100B wins
+$660 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
<1
<100B
YES 12.5¢ · NO 87.5¢ · chance 13%
TICKET
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