'26
Alaska Governor Election Winner
resolves Nov 3, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Mary Peltola 8%
Bernadette Wilson 8%
Tom Begich 8%
Nancy Dahlstrom 8%
James Parkin 8%
Adam Crum 8%
Matt Heilala 8%
Treg Taylor 8%
Lisa Murkowski 8%
Matt Claman 8%
David Bronson 8%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
MP
Mary Peltola
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
BW
Bernadette Wilson
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
TB
Tom Begich
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
ND
Nancy Dahlstrom
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
JP
James Parkin
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AC
Adam Crum
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MH
Matt Heilala
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
TT
Treg Taylor
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
LM
Lisa Murkowski
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MC
Matt Claman
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
DB
David Bronson
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
JK
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
RELATED MARKETS
esports
LIVE
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
$0 24h vol
esports
LIVE
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
MP
Mary Peltola
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Mary Peltola wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Sign in to trade
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
MP
Mary Peltola
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
Sign in to trade