'28
Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?
resolves Sep 2, 2028 · source: Roll-call result of the 2028 Democratic National Convention
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Gavin Newsom 38%
A. Ocasio-Cortez 18%
Josh Shapiro 14%
Wes Moore 9%
Someone else 21%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
GN
Gavin Newsom
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
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5
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9
0
1
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8
9
%
YES 38¢
NO 62¢
AO
A. Ocasio-Cortez
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
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8
9
%
YES 18¢
NO 82¢
JS
Josh Shapiro
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
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8
9
0
1
2
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4
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6
7
8
9
%
YES 14¢
NO 86¢
WM
Wes Moore
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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5
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7
8
9
%
YES 9¢
NO 91¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
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8
9
0
1
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8
9
%
YES 21¢
NO 79¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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fee 5% at settlement
GN
Gavin Newsom
chance
38%
YES · 38¢
NO · 62¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 38¢
263.2
if Gavin Newsom wins
+$150 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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GN
Gavin Newsom
YES 38¢ · NO 62¢ · chance 38%
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