'26
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?
resolves Sep 30, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Yes 77%
No 24%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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9
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9
%
YES 76.5¢
NO 23.5¢
NO
No
no 24h history yet
0
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%
YES 23.5¢
NO 76.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
77%
YES · 76.5¢
NO · 23.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 76.5¢
130.7
if Yes wins
+$24 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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ACTIVITY
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YE
Yes
YES 76.5¢ · NO 23.5¢ · chance 77%
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