'27
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
resolves Jan 1, 2027 · source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Yes 18%
No 83%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
YE
Yes
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 17.5¢
NO 82.5¢
NO
No
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 82.5¢
NO 17.5¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
YE
Yes
chance
18%
YES · 17.5¢
NO · 82.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 17.5¢
571.4
if Yes wins
+$443 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
YE
Yes
YES 17.5¢ · NO 82.5¢ · chance 18%
TRADE
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