'26
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
resolves Oct 1, 2026 · source: https://livebench.ai/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Anthropic 86%
OpenAI 6%
Google 0.5%
Mistral 0.5%
SpaceXAI 0.5%
Z.ai 0.5%
Alibaba 0.5%
Meta 0.5%
Moonshot 0.5%
MiniMax 0.5%
Meituan 0.5%
Microsoft 0.5%
Someone else 4%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
AN
Anthropic
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 85.66¢
NO 14.34¢
OP
OpenAI
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 5.53¢
NO 94.47¢
GO
Google
no 24h history yet
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9
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
Mistral
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SP
SpaceXAI
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ZA
Z.ai
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AL
Alibaba
no 24h history yet
0
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ME
Meta
no 24h history yet
0
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MO
Moonshot
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
MiniMax
no 24h history yet
0
1
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ME
Meituan
no 24h history yet
0
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
Microsoft
no 24h history yet
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0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 3.99¢
NO 96.01¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
AN
Anthropic
chance
86%
YES · 85.66¢
NO · 14.34¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 85.66¢
116.7
if Anthropic wins
+$11 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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AN
Anthropic
YES 85.66¢ · NO 14.34¢ · chance 86%
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